Abstract
We have made forecasting of the water outflow of Indus at Terbela river using the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model. Given Time series has showed seasonality pattern and it is incorporate in the ARIMA model. The best model is selected among many candidate models for forecasting the water outflow. The forecast values are tabulated up to 2020 and graphically shown. The policy maker may use these predicted values for their purposes.
Syed Fareed Ullah1, Dr Yasmeen Zahra2, Prof.Dr Ijaz Hussain3, Syed Muhammad Zia ul haq4. (2019) Time Series Forecasting with SARIMA Model of Water Outflow of Indus at Terbela River in Pakistan, Balochistan Review, Volume 1, Issue 1.
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