تلخیص
This study examines the monetary approach to the Pakistan balance of payments for the period 1990–2008. Through the reserve flow equation, it tests whether excess money supply played a significant role as a disturbance by using cointegration tests and error-correction modeling. The empirical results showed that monetary variables do not play an overwhelming role in determining Pakistan’s balance of payments. The significant relationships were found among net foreign assets, exchange rate, inflation and balance of payment, which reflected a strong positive relationship, while reflected a strongly negative relationship among money supply, domestic credit and balance of payments as posited by the monetary approach to balance of payments. But there is insignificant relationship between interest rate and Pakistan’s balance of payments. The results evidently showed that, although some variables suggested by the monetary approach play significant roles in the disturbance, but the balance of payments is not a purely monetary phenomenon. Therefore disequilibrium in the Balance of payments cannot be corrected only through monetary actions by the authorities. Some other measure should also be kept under consideration like increase in exports, improving quality of products, sustained growth in industrial and agriculture sectors and decrease in imports.
Gulzar Ali, . (2011) Pakistan’s Balance of Payments as a Monetary Phenomenon: (Econometric Evidence), Journal of Managerial Sciences, Volume 5, Issue 2.
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